Israel and Lebanon may be nearing a ceasefire agreement as discussions intensify over a proposed 60-day truce aimed at halting hostilities between Israel and the Iranian-backed militia, Hezbollah. Israeli officials have confirmed that the Israeli cabinet is scheduled to convene on Tuesday to deliberate on the terms of this deal.
The negotiations come amid a surge in violence, underscoring the urgency of reaching an agreement. Recent exchanges saw approximately 250 projectiles launched into Israel from Lebanese territory on Sunday alone, with most intercepted by Israeli defenses. In response, the Israeli Air Force has conducted airstrikes targeting suspected Hezbollah locations in Beirut and other areas.
The framework of the proposed ceasefire includes several crucial components:
A withdrawal of Israeli forces from southern Lebanon.
A reduction in Hezbollah’s military presence in the region.
An increased deployment of the Lebanese army to fill the vacuum left by both parties.
A Western diplomat, who requested anonymity, highlighted that these elements could pave the way for a more stable situation in southern Lebanon.
Lebanese Deputy Parliament Speaker Elias Bou Saab indicated that there are currently “no serious obstacles” hindering the ceasefire negotiations. He noted that one significant issue—the monitoring of compliance—has been addressed by establishing a five-country committee led by the United States and incorporating France among its members.
However, tensions remain regarding Israel’s insistence on retaining the right to conduct military operations if they perceive any threats from Hezbollah. This demand has been contentious for both Hezbollah and the Lebanese government.
As discussions unfold, domestic Israeli politics complicate matters. National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir has publicly opposed a ceasefire, labeling it “a grave mistake” during a time he believes presents a unique opportunity to weaken Hezbollah militarily.
Since late September, when hostilities escalated, Lebanese authorities have advocated for any ceasefire terms to align with United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, which was designed to end previous conflicts between Israel and Hezbollah. This resolution calls for disarmament of Hezbollah fighters within specific regions—a point of contention as both sides accuse each other of violations.
As casualties rise—over 3,750 deaths reported in Lebanon since October—concerns about how effectively any ceasefire can be enforced linger. With over one million displaced individuals in Lebanon due to ongoing violence, achieving a durable peace remains imperative.
In conclusion, while prospects for a ceasefire appear closer than before, multiple factors—from regional dynamics to internal political pressures—will likely shape its ultimate success or failure. The international community watches closely as both nations navigate these complex waters towards a potential resolution.
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