Donald Trump’s Victory: An Analysis of the Election Results

Donald Trump’s recent victory in the presidential election surprised many observers, especially the results obtained in the southern states. From North Carolina, where the media immediately declared the winner, to Pennsylvania and Georgia, Trump has shown unexpected strength. At the moment, he is also ahead in other crucial states such as Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada.

An improvement in results compared to 2020

Analyzing data from the Washington Post, it is clear that Trump has improved his results compared to the 2020 election. This improvement is particularly evident in rural areas, where the former president has further consolidated his support.

Exit polls have revealed some weaknesses in Kamala Harris and the Democrats’ campaign. In particular, Harris received only 53% of the Latino vote, a significant drop from the 65% Biden received in 2020. A prime example of this trend is in Miami-Dade, where Harris’s defeat by more than 10 points represents a marked deterioration from Biden’s already disappointing performance in 2020.

Key issues and voter mobilization

Another crucial factor was the issue of abortion. Although Republicans had the potential to face difficulties on this issue, they were able to effectively mobilize voters opposed to abortion. In contrast, the Democratic candidate failed to convince voters in favor of abortion rights “in most cases.” Preliminary polls accurately predicted the results of the poll. There were no significant errors compared to 2020 forecasts; however, there was a slight underestimation of Trump’s support.

A look to the future

In conclusion, Trump’s victory may not be limited to key states: there is a possibility that he could also gain a lead in the popular vote. This would be a rare result for Republicans, who have not surpassed Democrats in this aspect since 2004. Currently, estimates suggest that Trump could finish the count with a lead of about a point. This victory marks a pivotal moment in American politics and raises significant questions about the future of the American electorate and the political strategies of the two major parties.